Quick Takeaways
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Bearish Warning: A significant drop in Bitcoin’s Taker Buy Volume, now at its lowest since late 2024, raises concerns for investors about potential market corrections despite recent price recovery.
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Historical Patterns: Previous declines in Taker Buy Volume have often preceded shifts in market momentum, indicating a risk of consolidation or pullbacks if demand doesn’t recover.
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Long-Term Outlook: On-chain metrics suggest a sustained bull market, with indicators resembling cycles from 2017 and 2020, while long-term holders remain reluctant to sell, supporting potential price growth.
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Q4 Potential: Despite short-term uncertainties, fundamental indicators remain strong, with Bitcoin poised for a potential record monthly close, suggesting upward momentum as the fourth quarter begins.
Bitcoin Taker Buy Volume Declines, Raising Price Reversal Concerns
Recently, Bitcoin has shown mixed signals. After a weekend dip to around $109,000, it rebounded to trade above $114,000 this week. Investors feel cautiously optimistic as October historically favors cryptocurrencies. However, analysts raise eyebrows over a sharp drop in Taker Buy Volume, which warns of potential bearish movements.
The current Taker Buy Volume sits at its lowest since late 2024. This decline persisted throughout most of 2025, sending warning signals to hopeful bulls. According to data, the one-month moving average of Taker Buy Volume shows a consistent downtrend, particularly on Binance. The largest exchange in the world has seen a steep drop, hinting at waning trader confidence and rising selling pressure.
Such declines often prelude market shifts. The absence of strong buy pressure suggests that bulls could lose their hold. If demand fails to bounce back, Bitcoin may enter a bearish phase, triggering corrections despite its high price levels.
Conversely, signs of increasing Taker Buy Volume could revive bullish sentiment. Analysts point out that on-chain metrics indicate the bull market may still be intact. Certain indicators mirror patterns observed during previous bull cycles in 2017 and 2020. The MVRV ratio, cooling toward the 2.0 level, often signals mid-cycle resets rather than impending tops.
Long-term holders are also less inclined to sell, reflecting a supportive environment for price increases if new demand appears. Bitcoin Vector reports that the cryptocurrency is aiming for a record monthly close above $115,800. Despite initial uncertainty, vital fundamentals remained strong throughout Q3.
Historically, true shifts from bullish to bearish require high-risk conditions and weakening fundamentals—both are absent for now. Even with lingering stress in the market, Bitcoin appears poised for potential growth as Q4 begins.
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Disclaimer
This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly speculative and carries significant risk, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Do not make financial decisions based on this information. Consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. This site does not offer, sell, or advise on cryptocurrency, securities or other regulated financial products in compliance with SEC and applicable laws. Please do your own research and seek professional advise.
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